$10 billion was invested by Venture Capital companies in a single quarter in 2014 including investments in mHealth and Digital Health applications. At one level this may seem to be "irrational exuberance" as dramatically demonstrated in the internet bubble 15 years ago. The internet bubble effected the Global Economy and considering the size of the $3 trillion US Healthcare Market, mHealth may be an interesting indicator for a digital economy as a whole.Valuations in digital / social media entities are at all time highs. Uber and Alibaba are easy examples. Xiaomi the Apple "knock off artist" just became the most valuable start-up at $45 billion. Considering China is Xiaomi's primary market, this valuation is astounding. I thought China was going through recession (based upon media reports) compared to its relative meteoric growth over the past 2 decades.
Rock Health's Managing Director, Malay Gandhi, makes a thoughtful case against any potential "bubble" in the digital health space in a report by stating, "it’s an inherent dissatisfaction in healthcare driving digital health’s growth; 258 digital health companies each raised more than $2 million in 2014. According to Rock Health’s report, the top six categories for digital health funding last year (accounting for 44 percent of all digital health funding in 2014) were: Analytics and Big Data ($393M), Healthcare Consumer Engagement ($323M), Digital Medical Devices ($312M), Telemedicine ($285M), Personalized Medicine ($268M), Population Health Management ($225M)."
Rock Health also points out that during the internet or dot-com bubble that over $30 billion was raised in a single quarter in internet company investments. This number is even more significant considering the realtive size of the US economy in 1999-2000 versus 2014. Malay Gandhi's analysis seems solid as well by comparing the tech heavy NASDAQ versus the Dow Jones in 1999- 2000 versus today. The stock index charts also support Gandhi's statements.
In 1987 the stock market crashed. In 1998 the global economy and the stock market crashed. In 2000 the tech heavy NASDAQ crashed. In 2008 the global economy and the US stock marked crashed. Comparison of the internet bubble of 2000 make today's NASDAQ and mHealth valuations appear conservative, especially considering the diversification of investments in today's market.
As a Vice President at Medical Manager Corporation (known today as WebMD), I remember thinking in March 2000, that maybe people will need to sell some stock to pay for some gains in the NASDAQ.
U.S. venture capitalists invested $48.39 billion last year, the biggest total since 2000, according to new data from the National Venture Capital Association, PwC, and Thomson Reuters.
“Internet models today are fundamentally more sound than Internet models of 2000,” said Deven Parekh of Insight Venture Partners, a firm which has backed Chinese online giant Alibaba.com and message service Twitter.
The $48.39 billion, spread among 4,356 deals, compares to $29.96 billion in 2013, and $105.01 billion in 2000, the largest level since the association began keeping records.
Software deals accounted for 41 percent of all cash, the highest percentage since the report’s inception.
The troubling scenario found in the stock index charts demonstrate a 1 year gain in GDP (2014 - 2015) of nearly $1.5 trillion in a single year. This is a significant increase in GDP during a time frame when global oil prices have been cut in half and copper prices are at 2009 levels. Like oil, copper is a significant indicator for industrial and construction activities,
There is a real pent up demand for restructuring in the US Healthcare System. A significant amount of this change will occur as a result of innovation. New technology adoption and addressing healthcare (Medicare and Medicaid) fraud and abuse will be highlighted in 2015. The future of digital health technologies look bright against potential global economic headwinds. Unlike 2000, the "economic eggs" are diversified among multiple baskets.













